More B word blues

It's so up in the air if I were to type my best guess on outcomes, it most probably change before or just after being published.

 If Brexit was that ball, the bowling pins represent politics  presently here as it plows into them with no clear indication of which will be knocked over in what in some respects seems at times to had been a two year game of ten pin bowling  playing out.
Form what I have read of the draft leaving agreement  there are bit that are a bit better than I had expected such as it's not just the UK and the EU having teams to look at progress in dealing the notorious complications of the R.O.I/EU border and that of Northern Ireland but there is some mention of an independent team  to adjudicate where there may be disagreements on what constitutes progress.
That element of independent arbitration had been something of concern all along in this process as effectively the EU looked as judge and jury and with the parallel of this being a divorce, such an arrangement would of been in it.
That's something I give a cautious welcome to although its composition needs more work on and I can't see how you can square full sovereignty as trading nation and there being in effect no border with the EU as guaranteeing it means acceptance of the EU's  terms and as they politically can't be imposed on just Northern Ireland, one's bound to say what have we gained by accepting something that still constrains our relations with countries outside of it.
To make a brexit work you need to be able to set up new trading arrangements to come into effect immediately after leaving which implies you need to negotiate them while in the  so-called transition period where if I understand this right until we leave that transition period we are barred from doing under this agreement.
That's my second concern in all this-it seems perverse to say you have to leave before you can set up new arrangements outside the EU  in the way in which we had to say we are leaving to talk about how we might leave.
It's better to explore how first, decide then if you wish to leave and then set up the deals needed ready for the point you have left. European political logic escapes me I'm afraid.
All of this depends on a number of variables such as what happens if the Conservative Party decides to bring a no confidence measure in on Prime Minister May - could she survive one? All ready a number of ministers have resigned and the preferred replaced for the Brexit Minister is refusing to take it.
As of when this was typed the Democratic Unionist Party of Northern Ireland regards the agreement as a breach of trust between the Prime Minister and them to whom she relies on for support given the lack of a real majority in the House of Commons.
It is quite possible apart from not voting for the Budget, they vote against this agreement too which would making passing it extremely difficult given the opposition parties have made plain their own disagreements with it.
So we may have a situation where this isn't approved in the House of Commons, the government may be pushed into a General Election AND with a new leader which may not resolve how the nation dividing issue of Brexit can be resolved.
In the mean time the clock is ticking and and the EU is waiting...

Oh brother...