Friday 24 May 2019

EU too


Yesterday, we voted in that election we were not supposed to had been taking parting in for 73 seats in the European Parliament because we were supposed to had left it in March and it has cost us something like £156 million and cost the parties some can ill afford too with few prepared to make contributions to pay for offices, staff, election expenses and so on.
Given the unfolding events in Westminster it may be literally be the last days of Theresa May as Prime Minister as the calls for resignation reach fever pitch and the kind of ruling but lacking a majority Conservatives will no doubt go through a process of choosing its leader that for now at least will become Prime Minister. That's how the constitutional set up works because we don't vote for them thank goodness.
This said it may be the case some might be tempted to push for a early General Election with that new leader just about in place, facing the same beeping conundrum of delivering brexit in a  hopelessly split party that reflects the sharp polarization in the country.
There is no middle ground.
Results from that European Parliament Election won't come in until late Sunday and possibly Monday because being a pan-European election others are holding theirs on different days but as this is typed (phrase of the year for this blog) it looks like the Brexit party will get about 38% of the popular vote and something like 36 of the 73 seats accuring to OPINIUM poll tracker (Brexit Party 38%, Lib Dem 15%, Lab 17%, Green 7%, Con 7%, Change UK 3%, UKIP 3%) based on a sample of 2,004 adults).
Most pollsters show a clear lead for Brexit party with most of the pro Leave voters behind it.
One thing anyone seriously contemplating a third set of elections this year - a General Election UK wide - should consider is the parties may not have the money to fully field and run one with candidates for every seat because the donors aren't donating and in the instance of the Conservatives ones are severely hacked off because of way Brexit has been handled.
We'll see how it turns out next week but don't say you haven't been warned...

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