Friday 18 February 2022

Talking cold war blues

 

Somehow between two storms I somehow doubt I'll be out especially with no coat on today around by the park but more sat by the fire doing a spot of colouring or watching the tv.

This business around Ukraine, Nato and Russia is a big concern, not just in terms of the number of armed services massed, some 60% but also of weapons supplied and from that the potential for war between the West and Russia, something most of us thought had gone by the early 1990's with the reunification of Germany and former independent countries absorbed into the USSR.

To me given the whole messed up by design post WW2 borders and forced ethic cleansing and transposing trying to rejig the lot whatever grievances there may be only risks greater uncertainty and tension as unpicking any one has knock on effects.

There was a deliberate attempt to move ethnic Russians into non Russian territory where to this day they may comprise of a sizable minority and as we saw in 2014 in the Eastern Ukraine, following the replacement by election of a pro Russian president for one who was not, ethic Russians seeing their allegiance to Russian with ill disguised military support established breakaway states that were for all intents and purposes outposts of Russia in Ukraine before we consider the annexation of the Crimea.

However this heightened tension goes, the other thing is if Russia has a concern about having the West in form of Nato next door, this action is more likely to have encouraged existing former members of the Warsaw Pact and parts of the Soviet Union to be more involved with Nato with more weapons, troops and joint exercises because they'd fear more intervention in their own affairs.

It is likely to result in the very opposite of what they intended, a return to "Greater Russia" and Russian zone of influence around its backyard because it shows Russia to be a threat.

The past is over so you have to get over it.

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